2 min Market Summary: 15 Jan 2019

NOTABLE MOVES 

As of Tue, Jan 15, 08:00 Singapore Time zone UTC+8

USDJPY, -0.20%, $108.24
EURUSD, +0.11%, $1.1473
GBPUSD, +0.21%, $1.2875
USDCAD, -0.04%, $1.3275
AUDUSD, -0.02%, $0.7200
NZDUSD, -0.10%, $0.6826

S&P500, -0.53%, 2,582.61.
Nasdaq, -0.94%, 6,905.92
Nikkei Futures, +0.20%, 20,187.0

CURRENCY MARKET WRAP 

  • U.S. Treasuries finished mixed with the 2-yr yield decreasing three basis points to 2.52% and the 10-yr yield adding one basis point to 2.71% in a curve-steepening trade. The U.S. Dollar Index lost -0.1% to 95.59. WTI crude lost -2.1% to $50.58/bbl.
  • For the next 48 hours, there’s nothing more important than the Brexit vote. Members of Parliament will begin voting on PM May’s withdrawal agreement at 7pm London time on Tuesday. There is no specific time for the vote to end, but it should happen in the late North American or early Asian session. At this point, May is expected to lose by a margin big enough to force her to seek an Article 50 extension. 

 STOCK MARKET WRAP 

  • The broader market opened on a lower note, as disappointing trade data out of China stirred ongoing concerns over global economic growth. Specifically, China’s exports unexpectedly declined 4.4% year-over-year in December and its imports declined 7.6%. The S&P 500 lost -0.53% on Monday, pulling back from a three-week winning streak. The benchmark index never traded in positive territory but it did cut its intraday losses in half. The S&P 500 utilities (-2.3%), health care (-1.2%), and information technology (-0.9%) sectors weighed on the broader market. Conversely, the financials (+0.7%) sector helped offset losses and it was the only sector to finish in positive territory.
  • In addition, the amount of attention surrounding the partial U.S. government shutdown, which is currently the longest in U.S. history with no clear end in sight, also weighed on investor sentiment. The S&P 500 managed to bounce off its early lows as Citigroup (C 58.93, +2.24, +4.0%) overcame early weakness that was initially attributed to some disappointment over a fourth quarter revenue shortfall that overshadowed better-than-expected earnings results driven in part by expense savings and a lower tax rate. Citigroup was down more than -1.0% in pre-market hours but quickly reversed course shortly after the start of the trading session. Its quick turnaround, which several pundits attributed to a discounted valuation, helped lift other bank stocks and the financial space.
BLOCKCHAIN & CRYPTOCURRENCY NEWS
 
Major Spanish Energy Company to Use Blockchain in Renewable Energy Tracking
Spain’s major energy company, Iberdrola, has started using blockchain to track renewable energy. The first trial was conducted in cooperation with Kutxabank, a local bank based in the Basque Autonomous Community that owns a substantial part of Iberdrola’s equity, and its subsidiary Cajasur. The company used Energy Web Foundation — an open source blockchain platform designed to fit the regulatory, operational and market needs of the energy sector—  in their pilot. They found that blockchain enabled the company to establish a hierarchy of the producers and to automate the process of energy distribution. The test was a success, and Iberdrola believes that blockchain will contribute to the process of issuing guarantee of origin — a certificate that informs a customer about the source of the energy consumed. Moreover, decentralized solutions can help the industry to increase transparency and cut operational costs by eliminating middlemen.
 
Bulgarian Revenue Agency Announces Inspection of Cryptocurrency-Selling Companies
The Bulgarian National Revenue Agency (NRA) has announced the launch of inspections of cryptocurrency-selling companies. The Bulgarian RSA reportedly conducted a survey of the companies that own online platforms for the sale and purchase of cryptocurrencies like cryptocurrency exchanges and already assigned control actions (which presumably means checks) to nine companies. After the completion of the checks, the tax authority will reportedly use the information obtained from the platform to determine whether the users have declared their income from the use of cryptocurrency exchanges. In Bulgaria, the income from the sale of virtual currencies is declared in annual tax returns, treated as profit from the sale of a financial asset, and taxed at 10 percent. Companies profiting from the sale of crypto-assets are subject to taxation under the Corporate Income Tax Act.
 
Malaysian Cryptocurrency Regulation to Classify Digital Assets, Tokens as Securities
The Malaysian finance minister, Lim Guan Eng, reportedly said today that the Capital Markets and Services Order 2019 would become effective on Jan. 15.  The new regulation classifies digital currencies, tokens and crypto-assets as securities, placing them under the Securities Commission’s authority. Starting from Tuesday, any person operating unauthorized initial coin offerings (ICOs) or digital asset exchanges in Malaysia will be reportedly facing a 10-year jail sentence and a 10 million ($2.4 million) ringgit fine. Eng noted that the ministry believes digital assets offer both an alternative fundraising method and a new asset class for investors. The Malaysian government was still undecided whether to legalize cryptocurrencies just two days ago. Still, it has reportedly been clear since November of last year that Malaysia will enact regulations for cryptocurrency and ICOs in Q1 2019.

2 min Market Summary: 14 Jan 2019

NOTABLE MOVES 

As of Sat, Jan 12, 08:00 Singapore Time zone UTC+8

USDJPY, +0.12%, $108.55
EURUSD, -0.27%, $1.1469
GBPUSD, +0.74%, $1.2843
USDCAD, +0.23%, $1.3266
AUDUSD, +0.42%, $0.7216
NZDUSD, +0,78%, $0.6833

S&P500, -0.01%, 2,596.26.
Nasdaq, -0.21%, 6,971.48
Nikkei Futures, +1.04%, 20,320.0

CURRENCY MARKET WRAP 

  • U.S. CPI m/m at -0.1% vs expected -0.1%. Core CPI m/m at 0.2% vs expected 0.2%. The key takeaway from the report is that it supports the Fed’s new belief that it can be patient with its policy approach given that the core inflation trend is stable around the longer-run target at a time when data locally and abroad is revealing some softening in economic activity. U.S. Treasuries closed out the week on a higher note, pushing the 2-yr yield down two basis points to 2.55% and the 10-yr yield down three basis points to 2.70% in the wake of a market-friendly consumer inflation report. The U.S. Dollar Index gained 0.10% to 95.67.
  • Sterling was one of the best performers. It received a lift on reports that the UK could delay its March 29th exit from the European Union, though there’s a very good chance that PM May will lose this week’s key Brexit vote. Most MPs are expected to vote no to the withdrawal agreement that she set out with EU and only reason this is seen as good news is because many believe that they will need to drop the deadline altogether if Parliament rejects the agreement. As for Plan B, May could push for a second vote, pro-EU campaigners could push hard for a second referendum or the UK could begin the process of leaving the EU with no agreement.

 STOCK MARKET WRAP 

  • The S&P 500 (-0.01%) finished just a hair below its flat line on Friday. The benchmark index never traded in positive territory but did close at its session high. It also finished the week with a gain of 2.5%. The S&P 500 sectors also finished mixed with energy (-0.6%), utilities (-0.4%), and materials (-0.4%) weighing on the broader market. Conversely, the consumer staples (+0.3%) and health care (+0.3%) sectors finished atop the standings. General Motors (GM 37.18, +2.45) for its part jumped 7.1% after it increased its adjusted fiscal 2018 and 2019 earnings above consensus. Its strength, however, was not enough to lift the consumer discretionary space (unch).
BLOCKCHAIN & CRYPTOCURRENCY NEWS 
Overstock’s Security Token Trading Platform to Give Investors Control Over Token-Holdings
Reportedly, tZERO, the security token exchange subsidiary of e-commerce retail giant Overstock,  has started releasing control of its tokens. According to tZERO CEO Saum Noursalehi’s letter, investors now have the option of choosing where to hold their security tokens, either by creating a brokerage account with Dinosaur Financial Group, a tZERO partner and broker dealer, or holding them in a person wallet with a two-step verification system. tZERO investors should also “look out for another tZERO update regarding the commencement of security token trading,” as the time-frame for the live trading of the security token on its platform has not yet been clarified. In early January of this year, tZero received a patent application for a crypto integration platform for trading digital assets, outlining a system that would be able to receive orders to trade securities, tokens, digital shares, cash equivalents and digital assets from broker-dealers and then translate the orders into crypto orders on a digital exchange.
Central Bank Veteran’s Blockchain ‘E-Money’ Startup Raises $2 Million
Ethereum development studio ConsenSys has participated in a $2 million seed funding round for Iceland-based blockchain startup Monerium. The round was led by early-stage venture capital firm Crowberry Capital and included participation from private investment firm Hof Holdings, both also based in Iceland. The round was led by early-stage venture capital firm Crowberry Capital and included participation from private investment firm Hof Holdings, both also based in Iceland. Monerium plans to issue “asset-backed, redeemable and regulated e-money” over blockchains once a licensed institution, saying its products would make blockchains “more relevant and useful” to financial institutions and enterprises. According to Andrew Keys, co-founder of ConsenSys Capital, his firm is “dedicated to supporting companies building the infrastructure needed for a more decentralized and self-sovereign future.” In November, ConsenSys led a $2.1 million seed round for AZTEC, a startup working to make ethereum transactions private and thereby encourage financial institutions to use the second-largest blockchain.
NASA Eyes Blockchain Tech to Secure Aircraft Flight Data
NASA – the National Aeronautics and Space Administration – is examining blockchain technology as a means to ensure the privacy and security of aircraft flight data. Ronald Reisman, an aero-computer engineer at NASA Ames Research Center, published a paper on Monday, suggesting that blockchain networks and smart contracts can help mitigate some security issues. Starting Jan. 1, 2020, the U.S. has been mandated by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to use a new surveillance system – Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B) – which will publicly broadcast aircrafts’ identity, position and other information.

2 min Market Summary: 11 Jan 2019

NOTABLE MOVES 

As of Fri, Jan 11, 08:00 Singapore Time zone UTC+8

USDJPY, +0.15%, $108.33
EURUSD, -0.31%, $1.1507
GBPUSD, -0.29%, $1.2752
USDCAD, +0.23%, $1.3240
AUDUSD, +0.21%, $0.7186
NZDUSD, -0.05%, $0.6784

S&P500, +0.45%, 2,596.64.
Nasdaq, +0.42%, 6,986.07
Nikkei Futures, -0.72%, 20,272.0

CURRENCY MARKET WRAP 

  • There were no notable prints on Thursday. The latest news from the US-China talks produced little fresh results and the impasse on US government shutdown shows little signs of being resolved, although pressure grows on the White House every day as nearly 1 million federal employees continue to work without a pay check. Trump tweeted he will no longer attend Davos World Economic Forum amid the partial government shutdown.
  • Fed Chair Powell on Thursday stressed again the U.S. central bank can be patient in approving any further rate increases as officials gauge whether the U.S. economy will slow this year.With no sign of excessive inflation or outsized risk in financial markets, Powell said the Fed would be “waiting and watching” in coming months to see which of those two competing narratives plays out.

 STOCK MARKET WRAP 

  • The S&P 500 gained 0.45% on Thursday, extending its winning streak to five straight sessions. It wasn’t easy, as investors wrestled with some earnings warnings and some comments from Fed Chair Powell, but the story of the day once again involved buying the intraday dips and the market remaining resilient to selling efforts. The S&P 500 lost as much as -0.9% shortly after the start of trading amid a prevailing sense that the broader market may have gotten overbought on a short-term basis.
BLOCKCHAIN & CRYPTOCURRENCY NEWS 

Samsung NEXT Technical Director Values Decentralization Above Blockchain
Decentralization is a more important phenomenon than blockchain, a senior executive at South Korean tech giant Samsung said in an interview with computing magazine JAX . Speaking about the future of blockchain, Ricardo J. Méndez, Technical Director at the firm’s innovative technology arm Samsung NEXT, forecast a consolidation of the space in the coming year, but underscored the importance of reshaping centralized structures. Mendez explained: “ Blockchain is just one more tool, and one that can help in decentralized contexts, but a tool is always less important than the goal,” adding that  “Peer-to-peer approaches require you to broadcast your activity to peers, so they need an extra privacy layer (like a VPN or mix network). This is why, as an industry, we need to get better at explaining to users the trade-offs of different approaches.”

US Dept. of Energy Grants $4.8 Million to Fund Research of Tech Including Blockchain
The Department of Energy (DOE) of the United States has announced $4.8 million in funding for university research of technologies including blockchain. The funding has been announced by the department’s office of fossil energy. Projects eligible for funding include those researching emerging technologies, “such as blockchain and decentralized, peer-to-peer [P2P] internet protocols” to secure data from fossil power generation sensors. The developed systems would be used to securely process data from the sensors and other unspecified information flows within distributed sensor networks for fossil-based power generation systems. The DOE said it “anticipates selecting up to 12 projects” to receive the funding allocation.

Crypto Exchange Gate.io Confirms 51% Attack on Ethereum Classic, Promises Refunds
Researchers from crypto exchange Gate.io report they have confirmed that a 51 percent attack successfully occurred on the Ethereum Classic (ETC) blockchain. Gate.io Research has published its analysis of ETC transactions on its platform during the alleged attack, claiming it has detected seven rollback transactions — four of which were reportedly conducted by the attacker, transferring a total of 54,200 ETC. The incident occurred over a period of 4 hours between 0:40 and 4:20 Jan.7, 2019 UTC, during which the transactions were normally confirmed on the blockchain and then subsequently invalidated after the malign network rollback. Gate.io states it will compensate its users’ losses but also advises other crypto trading platforms to block transactions stemming from the identified suspect addresses.

2 min Market Summary: 10 Jan 2019

NOTABLE MOVES 

As of Wed, Jan 10, 08:00 Singapore Time Zone UTC+8

USDJPY, -0.52%, $108.18
EURUSD, +0.98%, $1.1554
GBPUSD, +0.63%, $1.2799
USDCAD, -0.46%, $1.3213
AUDUSD, +0.48%, $0.7175
NZDUSD, +1.00%, $0.6790

S&P500, +0.41%, 2,584.96.
Nasdaq, +0.87%, 6,957.08
Nikkei Futures, +0.13%, 20,247.0

CURRENCY MARKET WRAP 

  • In FOMC minutes, the Fed revealed a view that the path of U.S. monetary policy is “less clear” than before, and a contention that the Fed can “afford to be patient” about future rate hikes. The message underscores a sense that the Fed is nearing the end of its rate-hike cycle. It also syncs broadly with the view of Fed Chair Powell, who last week eased market concerns that the Fed was ignoring signs of an economic slowdown and assured markets he would be patient and flexible in policy decisions this year. U.S. Treasury yield curve steepened a bit on Wednesday, undoing the prior session’s flattening. The 2-yr yield decreased four basis points to 2.55%, and the 10-yr yield added one basis point to 2.73%. The U.S. Dollar Index fell -0.8% to 95.13.
  • The BOC held interest rates steady as expected (1.75% vs expected 1.75%) on Wednesday, but said more increases would be necessary even though low oil prices and a weak housing market will harm the economy in the short term. Governor Stephen Poloz said the challenges were temporary and he still believed the economy would at some stage be operating at full capacity, with inflation on target and with interest rates in a zone where they are no longer stimulating or contracting aggregate demand.

 STOCK MARKET WRAP 

  • The S&P 500 gained 0.41% on Wednesday, helped by softening trade tensions, easing anxieties over U.S. monetary policy, and rebounding oil prices ($52.20/bbl, +$2.54, +5.1%). The S&P 500 briefly fell into negative territory (-0.2%) in the early going, but ultimately rebounded before running into some resistance as it approached the 2600 level shortly after the release of the FOMC minutes from the December policy meeting. Within the S&P 500, the energy (+1.5%) and information technology (+1.2%) sectors led the broader market higher. Conversely, the defensive-oriented consumer staples (-1.0%), utilities (-0.7%), and real estate (-0.4%) sectors underperformed. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (+2.5%) was a notable outperformer on Wednesday, despite Apple (AAPL 153.31, +2.56, +1.7%) supplier Skyworks Solutions (SWKS 67.69, +2.50, +3.8%) lowering its fiscal first quarter guidance. Some catalysts that underpinned the group’s performance included (1) the positive price action in Skyworks despite the bad news, which was interpreted as a sign that the bad news was already priced in, (2) Bernstein upgrading Micron (MU 35.44, +1.70, +5.0%) to ‘Outperform’ from ‘Market Perform’, and (3) optimism over the trade discussions with China.
BLOCKCHAIN & CRYPTOCURRENCY NEWS 

France’s Yellow Vests Plan Bank Run to ‘Scare State Without Violence’

French grassroots political movement the Gilets Jaunes, Yellow Vests is planning a bank run similar to Bitcoin’s (BTC) Proof of Keys. Dubbed the “Collectors’ Referendum,” the latest demonstration by the movement calls on supporters to withdraw all their savings and other deposited cash from financial institutions on Saturday. As local magazine Capital notes, the potential disruptive element of the Referendum could technically be considerable. The eventual turnout, however, is likely to be low enough so as to not spark a crisis. Further, those in Bitcoin circles will be drawing parallels between the Referendum and last week’s Proof of Keys event organized by a sole investor, entrepreneur Trace Mayer. Fiat bank runs have in turn contributed to the appeal of Bitcoin before, with Cyprus’ financial crisis in 2013 appearing to boost the price of the cryptocurrency.

Crypto Platform Tron Hires Former SEC Attorney as First Chief of Compliance

Blockchain platform TRON has hired a former United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) supervisory attorney as its first chief compliance officer. David Labhart, who previously worked as an attorney for the U.S. regulator, will also take on the role of co-general counsel at the company. TRON, along with its associated TRX token, has built a major presence over the past year, in part due to the continued, and at times controversial, publicity efforts centred around CEO Justin Sun. Designed to offer an alternative platform for decentralized applications (DApps) to Ethereum, TRON celebrated its one millionth user account last month. TRX has risen 6.4 percent in the past 24 hours, making it the best daily performer in the top twenty cryptocurrencies by market cap.

Venezuela Introduces Crypto, Foreign Fiat Operations Taxation

Venezuelan government has published a new decree that introduces taxation for operations with cryptocurrency and foreign fiat. All citizens who deal with cryptocurrencies or foreign fiat currencies are now obliged to report their income and pay taxes in the same currency they have operated in, and not in the sovereign bolivar, Venezuela’s national currency. The decree states that Venezuela’s tax and customs duties regulator (SENIAT) will soon provide guidelines, describing how to report and pay crypto and foreign fiat taxes. In its own turn, local banking sector regulator (SUDEBAN) will create a regulatory framework for the country’s banks and other financial institutions so that they can comply with the new decree. Although the regulatory framework for the new tax has not yet been fully defined, the document published in the government’s newspaper has already come into force, and penalties for failing to comply with it have been announced. Venezuelan Ministry of Economy and Finance is designated to be responsible for the implementation of the decree.

2 min Market Summary: 9 Jan 2019

NOTABLE MOVES 

As of Wed, Jan 09, 08:00 Singapore Time Zone UTC+8

USDJPY, +0.03%, $108.75
EURUSD, -0.17%, $1.1457
GBPUSD, -0.33%, $1.2738
USDCAD, -0.40%, $1.3245
AUDUSD, +0.24%, $0.7165
NZDUSD, -0.16%, $0.6744

S&P500, +0.97%, 2,574.41
Nasdaq, +1.08%, 6,897.00
Nikkei Futures, +1.33%, 20,337.5

CURRENCY MARKET WRAP 

  • The 2-yr Treasury note yield rose seven basis points to 2.59%, and the 10-yr Treasury note yield rose three basis points to 2.72%. The U.S. Dollar Index increased by 0.3% to 95.92.
  • Sterling erased all of yesterday’s gains after the UK government lost a vote that would help to prepare for a no-deal Brexit. MPs supported a measure that limits spending on no-deal preparations unless authorized by Parliament. Not only does this reflects May’s weakened power but also makes the government less prepared to leave the European Union with no agreement on March 29.
  • A notable mover continues to be the Loonie. Between January 2nd and January 8th, USD/CAD dropped -2.5%, giving up a third of the past 2 months gains. A strong labor market, decline in the Dollar, recovery in risk and rebound in oil prices all played a role in the pair’s steep decline. Later today, the BOC will have their monetary policy announcement. Aside from an interest rate decision, the Bank of Canada will also release their monetary policy report and latest economic projections. This will be followed by a press conference from Governor Poloz and Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins. There will be plenty of opportunities for the central bank to clarify their outlook and pave the way for the next big move in USD/CAD.

 STOCK MARKET WRAP 

  • The S&P 500 rose 0.97% on Tuesday, notching its third straight day of gains and its fifth in the last six sessions. The benchmark index did succumb to some early selling pressure, though, surrendering an early 1.2% gain. However, the wave of improved investor sentiment and the buy-the-dip crowd supported the market. In addition, upbeat reports surrounding U.S.-China trade discussions helped keep the positive sentiment and buying interest intact. A scheduled two-day meeting in Beijing is now slated to extend into a third day of discussions on Wednesday. Buying interest was largely broad-based with 10 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finishing with gains. The real estate (+1.8%), communication services (+1.6%), industrials (+1.4%), and utilities (+1.3%) groups outperformed the broader market. The S&P 500 financial sector (unch) and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (-0.5%) were two notable underperformers on Tuesday. Aflattening yield curve and a profit warning from Samsung Electronics about memory chip demand acted as headwinds for the respective groups. The financial sector, however, managed to claw its way back to its flat line after being down as much as -1.1% intraday.
BLOCKCHAIN & CRYPTOCURRENCY NEWS 

Japan’s Financial Watchdog Seeks to Regulate Unregistered Crypto Investment Firms

Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) is considering the regulation of unregistered firms that solicit investments in cryptocurrencies. The development is reportedly a bid to close a loophole in the country’s existing regulatory framework, in which unregistered firms that collect funds in crypto rather than fiat currencies remain in a gray zone. This situation exists because these firms do not explicitly come under the purview of Japan’s Financial Instruments and Exchange Act, which prohibits unregistered companies from collecting investment funds in cash, but fails to mention funds collected in cryptocurrency form. the FSA has intensified its scrutiny of crypto exchanges’ business practices, and fortified the process of risk screening applicants for its mandatory official exchange operating license. Earlier this month, five further crypto exchanges joined the country’s Virtual Currency Exchange Association (JVCEA), a self-regulatory body that was formed in April 2018 in a bid to establish industry-wide investor safety standards. The JVCEA has formally been granted self-regulatory status by the FSA as of October last year.

KodakOne Blockchain Beta Test Sees $1 Mln in Content Licensing Claims

KodakONE, the developer of a blockchain-based image rights platform licensed by photographic industry giant Kodak has reportedly generated over $1 million in licensing claims for image rights during a limited beta test of its platform. When Kodak first announced its partnership with then-Wenn Digital, the company’s shares surged to a high of $13.25, with onlookers criticizing the move at the time as a bid to cash in on the ICO and blockchain hype. RYDE, together with ICOx Innovations, has overseen the design and development of the KodakONE Platform and its KodakCoin token. The latter is an ERC-20 token, which also uses components of the Stellar blockchain as middleware. The KodakONE platform, meanwhile, uses a hybrid blockchain infrastructure with Ethereum, Stellar and Hyperledger technology. Allegedly, of the $1 million in revenue generated during the PLP beta, KodakONE will pocket around $400,000.

Coinbase: Ethereum Classic Double Spending Involved More Than $1.1 Million in Crypto

A deep reorganization of the Ethereum Classic (ETC) blockchain, which included double spending, has involved more than $1.1 million worth of crypto. The team first detected eight reorganizations that included double spends, totaling 88,500 ETC (approximately $460,000). Later, the exchange announced that there were 12 additional reorganizations, totaling 219,500 ETC (around $1.1 million). It was not immediately clear whether Coinbase has increased the number of previously detected attacks to 12, or whether there were 20 attacks in total. If they meant the latter, the amount of ETC that has been double spent could equal up to $1.5 million. Coinbase detected the ETC blockchain reorganization on Saturday, Jan. 5, and indicated that it was a 51 percent attack. The U.S. exchange then temporarily halted all interaction with the ETC blockchain. Coinbase states that its customers were not affected by the attack. The major exchange was soon joined by Japan’s bitFlyer, which also claimed that there was an ongoing 51 percent attack with mass reorganization involving more than 100 blocks, but ETC developers denied the reports about a 51 percent attack.

2 min Market Summary: 8 Jan 2019

NOTABLE MOVES 

As of Tue, Jan 08, 08:00 Singapore Time Zone UTC+8

USDJPY, +0.08%, $108.63
EURUSD, +0.60%, $1.1479
GBPUSD, +0.42%, $1.2786
USDCAD, -0.54%, $1.3297
AUDUSD, +0.29%, $0.7145
NZDUSD, +0.18%, $0.6754

S&P500, +0.70%, 2,549.69
Nasdaq, +1.26%, 6,823.47
Nikkei Futures, +0.02%, 20,145.0

CURRENCY MARKET WRAP 

  • The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index slipped to 57.6% in December  from 60.7% in November. The key takeaway from the report is that it followed the ISM Manufacturing Index in showing a slowdown in activity in December. That is in keeping with the market’s perception of economic matters and threatens to bleed into a slowdown in earnings growth.
  • U.S. Treasuries started the session in positive territory, but spent the bulk of the day in a retreat that coincided with a rally in the stock market. The 2-yr yield rose four basis points to 2.52%, and the 10-yr yield added two basis points to 2.68%. The U.S. Dollar Index fell -0.5% to 95.70, reaching its lowest close since mid-October.
  • Euro caught bids amid renewed protests in France and Hungary. Not only does this unrest raise political and social concerns, it also inhibits the recovery in France and could restrain growth for the Eurozone as a whole.  Euro traders were pleased to see the sharp recovery in German and Eurozone retail sales, but the manufacturing sector continues to struggle with factory orders falling a steep -1% in November, against a forecast of -0.2%.
  • In the past 4 trading days, USD/CAD has fallen from a high of 1.3665 to a low of 1.3279. The combination of rising oil prices, a stronger IVEY PMI report (59.7 vs expected 58.1) and risk appetite took the pair to its lowest level in nearly a month.

 STOCK MARKET WRAP 

  • The major averages opened the session to some tepid buying interest. The S&P 500 briefly dipped into negative territory (-0.3%), but the pullback didn’t gain any traction as the benchmark index steadily climbed to session highs (+1.4%) by early afternoon.This resilience to selling efforts following huge gains last Friday created some fear of missing out on further gains that helped drive up prices. Stocks, however, began to lose steam at around 1:45 p.m. ET, shortly after Trump tweeted that he will address the nation over border security Tuesday evening. Notable movers included PG&E (PCG 18.95, -5.45) plunging 22.3% amid a possible bankruptcy filing and Loxo Oncology (LOXO 232.65, +92.78) soaring 66.3% after an offer to be acquired by Eli Lilly (LLY 115.28, +0.62, +0.5%) at a 68% premium over its Friday closing price. PG&E was an influential drag on the utilities sector.
BLOCKCHAIN & CRYPTOCURRENCY NEWS 

UK Crypto Exchange Coinfloor to Launch Trading of Physically Delivered Bitcoin Futures

CoinfloorEX, a unit of the United Kingdom cryptocurrency exchange Coinfloor, has been reorganized to offer trading of physical Bitcoin futures on the Asian market. The rebranded CoinFLEX — short for Coin Futures and Lending Exchange — is reportedly owned by a consortium that includes Roger Ver, an early Bitcoin (BTC) entrepreneur and the supporter of the most recent controversial Bitcoin Cash (BCH) hard fork. The new venture will be based in Hong Kong and headed by Mark Lamb, Coinfloor’s co-founder. It will offer Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash and Ethereum futures contracts to retail investors based in Asia starting in February. All of the company’s futures will be physically delivered. As soon as a contract expires, the customers will be given the underlying cryptocurrency instead of a cash payment.

Nasdaq-Powered EU Exchange Reveals Crypto Trading Pairs, Tokenized Stocks

Nasdaq-powered DX Exchange announced the platform’s launch and available trading pairs. The digital trading platform uses Nasdaq’s Financial Information Exchange (FIX) protocol. Users of the exchange will be able to trade tokenize stocks in various major global companies. The tokenized stocks of Amazon, Baidu, Apple, Facebook, Google, Intel, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia and Tesla will be available to trade on the platform. The exchange also announced support for various crypto to crypto and crypto to fiat pairs. Namely, the company revealed that Ripple (XRP) will be available to trade against Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), euro, yen, and U.S. dollars while Litecoin (LTC) will be available to trade against BTC, ETH, and USD. Cardano (ADA) trading will also be supported on the exchange against ETH, USD, yen and BTC.

Japan Gauges Interest in Bitcoin ETF as Pundits Talk Down US Approval Rumors

Japan’s financial regulator is considering allowing Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETF). The Financial Services Agency (FSA) is testing interest in an ETF with a view to potentially giving the instrument the green light to trade on domestic markets. The move would place Japan in direct contrast to the United States, where regulators are risk-averse on ETFs but permit physical Bitcoin futures trading, which FSA has rejected. Discussing the U.S. stance on ETFs, securities lawyer Jake Chervinsky stood firm on his opinion that lawmakers were unlikely to change tack anytime soon. Intercontinental Exchange’s Bakkt platform is still slated to begin offering Bitcoin futures on the U.S. market later this month, a move which Nasdaq has said it will copy in 2019.

2 min Market Summary: 7 Jan 2019

NOTABLE MOVES 

As of Sat, Jan 05, 08:00 Singapore Time zone UTC+8

USDJPY, +0.64%, $108.53
EURUSD, +0.04%, $1.1395
GBPUSD, +0.81%, $1.2730
USDCAD, -0.81%, $1.3368
AUDUSD, +1.65%, $0.7121
NZDUSD, +0.64%, $0.6731

S&P500, +3.43%, 2,531.94
Nasdaq, +4.26%, 6,738.86
Nikkei Futures, +3.49%, 20,082.5

CURRENCY MARKET WRAP 

  • Nonfarm payrolls exceeded expectations with an increase of 312,000, while average hourly earnings increased 0.4%, lifting the year-over-year growth rate to 3.2%. There were some market concerns about how the Fed would respond to the strong jobs report. The latest comments from Powell, however, eased those concerns, evident from stocks soaring to session highs, and maintaining their gains. Some talking points from the Fed Chair that soothed the market included:
  • The Fed will remain patient given the muted reading on inflation,
  • Monetary policy will be nimble and shift if necessary, and
  • His softer tone regarding previous comments on the Fed’s balance sheet reduction path being on autopilot.
  • U.S. Treasuries ended the week sharply lower, surrendering their gains from Thursday. The 2-yr yield dropped 10 basis points to 2.48%, and the 10-yr yield dropped 11 basis points to 2.66%. The U.S. Dollar Index lost -0.1% to 96.17.

 STOCK MARKET WRAP 

  • The S&P 500 gained 3.43% on Friday, as Powell signaled patience and flexibility on rates in light of stronger-than-expected jobs data. Friday’s gains helped the benchmark index secure a weekly gain of 1.9%. All 11 S&P 500 sectors closed the session in the green, with gains ranging from 1.0% (real estate) to 4.4% (information technology). Apple (AAPL 148.26, +6.07, +4.3%), for its part, recouped nearly half of its losses from Thursday.The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) fell 4.1 points to 21.38, reaching its lowest level since mid-December.
BLOCKCHAIN & CRYPTOCURRENCY NEWS 

Kraken Swamped by US Subpoenas, AMD Partners Crypto Studio

The popular cryptocurrency exchange Kraken has released statistics about the volumes and global breakdown of its information requests from authorities during 2018. The data shows that the number of subpoenas has almost tripled from just 160 in 2017 to 475. The numbers also highlight how much of a burden complying with American demands actually is. New York-based trading platform Gemini has launched a controversial marketing campaign across NYC. Ads posted on outdoor billboards, subway stations and taxis by the exchange are proclaiming that “The Revolution Needs Rules” and “Crypto Without Chaos” suggesting that government regulations are good for investors. Also, Consensys, the crypto software studio that was reported to cut over half of its employees last month, has teamed up with one of the companies that suffered most from the decline in the sale of GPUs to cryptocurrency miners last year – AMD. In collaboration with Abu Dhabi-based Halo Holdings, they will develop optimized data-center solutions for emerging blockchain workloads through the creation of W3bcloud. The initiative is focused on providing an independent cloud computing blockchain infrastructure and plans to develop optimized solutions powered by AMD hardware.

Crypto-Friendly Statesman Takes Over Swiss Presidency

On Dec. 5, Ulrich ‘Ueli’ Maurer was elected by the Swiss parliament for a one-year term in 2019 with the impressive support of 201 out of 209 members. Ueli Maurer is among those politicians who saw the threat to Switzerland’s leadership in the crypto space. In May, he invited representatives of the Swiss financial regulator Finma, the Swiss National Bank, and the Swiss Bankers Association (SBA) to a roundtable discussion on the matter. Following the meeting, SBA formed a working group to solve the problem. It was tasked to create a set of procedures for banks to follow when opening accounts for entities transacting with cryptocurrencies. Some Swiss banks have since then started to accept clients from the crypto sector. During the G20 finance ministers’ meeting in Buenos Aires last July, Maurer shared his country’s position on cryptocurrencies, emphasizing that digital assets and distributed ledger technologies bring great potential for financial services. At the summit, Switzerland also insisted on a uniform international approach in order to prevent double taxation in the digital economy.

Thousands of Banned Binance Customers Remain Cut off by the Exchange

Binance, the world’s second largest digital asset exchange by traded volume, has withdrawn its services from countries targeted by U.S. economic sanctions, in line with its controversial revised terms of use. However, the ban affects entire populations in countries such as Zimbabwe, where U.S. restrictions are supposed to specifically target individuals and companies. Binance users in Iran, Belarus, Serbia, Bosnia, Myanmar and other restricted jurisdictions have reportedly been cut off for a month now after the global exchange sent a notice of termination. Although Binance’s terms now prohibit individuals and countries on the U.N. Security Council and the Office of Foreign Assets Control of the U.S. Treasury Department (OFAC) sanctions lists, Russia is conspicuously exempt. The latest Binance terms of use read, in part, “By accessing and using Binance and any of its services, you acknowledge and declare that you are not on any trade or economic sanctions lists, such as the UN Security Council Sanctions list or OFAC.”  These sanctions typically freeze assets of targeted countries, curtail financial transfers to individuals or states as well as suspend services to those on the embargo list.

2 min Market Summary: 4 Jan 2019

NOTABLE MOVES 

 

As of Fri, Jan 04, 08:00 Singapore Time zone UTC+8

USDJPY, +0.39%, $107.86
EURUSD, +0.70%, $1.1394
GBPUSD, +0.91%, $1.2630
USDCAD, -1.13%, $1.3478
AUDUSD, +1.33%, $0.7010
NZDUSD, +0.90%, $0.6690

S&P500, -2.48%, 2,447.89
Nasdaq, -3.04%, 6,463.50
Nikkei Futures, +0.09%, 19,382.0

CURRENCY MARKET WRAP 

  • U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI 54.1 vs expected 57.7. The key takeaway from the report is that the December decrease was fuelled by a sharp pullback in the New Orders component, which is the same element that lifted the November ISM Manufacturing Index into the neighbourhood of its high from 2018.
  • Fears over growth and corporate earnings had investors flocking to risk-free U.S. Treasuries. Consequently, the 2-yr yield and 10-yr yield fell 11 basis points each, to 2.38% and 2.55%, respectively. The rally in Treasuries took place amid building expectations for a rate cut by the end of the year. The fed funds futures market now sees a 46.1% implied likelihood of a rate cut in December, up sharply from yesterday’s implied probability of just 9.6%. The U.S. Dollar Index lost -0.6% to 96.23.

 STOCK MARKET WRAP 

  • The S&P 500 dropped -2.48% on Thursday, as a revenue warning from Apple (AAPL 142.19, -15.73, -10.0%) and weak manufacturing data stoked worries about a slowdown in global economic growth. Apple rattled the market when it lowered its revenue guidance for the first time since 2002. CEO Tim Cook attributed the lower outlook to weaker demand in China, where the economy has been decelerating notably. Selling accelerated after the ISM Manufacturing Index for December came in below consensus at 54.1, falling from 59.3 in November. While growth concerns are not new, Thursday’s setbacks exacerbated fears that economic growth might be slowing more quickly than anticipated, which would present a headwind to corporate earnings.
  • Delta Air Lines (DAL 45.61, -4.48), for its part, fell -8.9% after its pre-announced fourth quarter results included softer than expected unit revenue.
BLOCKCHAIN & CRYPTOCURRENCY NEWS 
 
Chilean Treasury Launches Blockchain Platform to Process Public Payments
The Chilean General Treasury of the Republic (TGR),  a dependent institution under the Ministry of Finance has launched a blockchain platform to process payments. The platform stores transactions that are processed by Chilean public institutions such tax payments or patent fees on blockchain. Before recording the transaction, all nodes participating in the process are obliged to approve it. Allegedly, a common database used both by government, institutions and banks will help to eliminate data discrepancies, reduce time spent on payments, as well as cut operational costs, while providing the necessary level of security for personal data. The Chilean government is exploring blockchain in several areas, including the energy and finance sectors. In April, Chile’s national energy regulation organization announced the launch of a project based on the Ethereum (ETH) blockchain to record data from the nation’s energy sector.
 
Nasdaq-Powered Exchange to Launch EU-Regulated Tokenized Stock Trading
Estonian digital trading platform DX Exchange will begin offering tokenized stocks on the Ethereum blockchain next week. DX, which will reportedly be the first exchange to offer such trading in a fully regulated environment in the European Union, will use Nasdaq’s Financial Information exchange (FIX) protocol to deliver the product. According to the company’s press release, cryptocurrency users will be able to purchase tokens that will be backed by stocks in various major companies, including Google, Facebook and Amazon. The shares will be purchased on users’ behalf by MPS MarketPlace Securities Ltd., with which DX has an exclusive partnership agreement. DX first appeared as a concept in May last year, with the latest move making it a regulated trading environment for cryptocurrency, fiat currency and digital stocks. Nasdaq has already dedicated itself to a future involving cryptocurrency and blockchain technology, with its own Bitcoin futures contracts rumored to launch in the first half of 2019.
 
Thai National Tech Development Center to Introduce Blockchain in Voting
The National Electronics and Computer Technology Center (NECTEC) of Thailand has developed blockchain technology for e-voting. NECTEC is a statutory government organization that operates under the purview of the National Science and Technology Development Agency and the Ministry of Science and Technology. The organization chiefly promotes the development of computing, electronics, IT and telecommunications. The technology reportedly can be deployed in tandem with traditional voting as Thais become more technologically literate. According to NECTEC, once 5G is eventually adopted, all votes will be connected with the new technology.  In order for the system to function, it requires a controller, voters and candidates. Prior to the election, the controller can verify voter identity and candidate qualifications. Voters will purportedly be able to vote by email and must be verified by mobile camera. Other countries have also been considering using blockchain technology to secure and conduct election processes. Following the 2018 federal mid-term elections in the United States, the Secretary of State of West Virginia reported a successful trial of mobile blockchain voting for West Virginians in the armed services stationed overseas.

2 min Market Summary: 3 Jan 2019

NOTABLE MOVES 

As of Thu, Jan 03, 08:00 Singapore Time zone UTC+8

USDJPY, -2.08%, $107.43
EURUSD, -1.30%, $1.1315
GBPUSD, -1.85%, $1.2516
USDCAD, -0.05%, $1.3632
AUDUSD, -1.91%, $0.6918
NZDUSD, -1.30%, $0.6630

S&P500, +0.13%, 2,510.03
Nasdaq, +0.46%, 6,665.94
Nikkei Futures, -2.62%, 19,365.0

CURRENCY MARKET WRAP 

  • FX flash crash gripped currency markets in early Asian trading on Thursday as the break of key technical levels triggered massive stop-loss sales of the Dollar and Aussie dollars in thin markets. Most major currencies collapsed against the Yen in a matter of seconds. The move was attributed to a liquidity void, with Japan still on holiday after the New Year. There was speculation that the catalyst was tech bellwether Apple Inc, when they shocked investors by cutting its earnings guidance, citing sluggish iPhone sales in China. The news sent U.S. stock futures sliding and sparked a rush of funds to safe-haven bonds.
  • The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.7% to 96.82. Longer-dated U.S. Treasuries extended gains, pressuring yields. The 2-yr yield declined one basis point to 2.49%, and the 10-yr yield declined three basis points to 2.66%.

STOCK MARKET WRAP

  • Wall Street finished slightly higher on Wednesday despite global economic growth concerns and volatility extending their reach into 2019. The S&P 500 managed to squeeze out a gain of 0.13% after being down as much as -1.6% in the opening minutes. Stocks opened sharply lower after weak economic data from China reminded investors that a slowing Chinese economy could adversely impact global growth and corporate earnings growth. The latest data showed a contraction in China’s manufacturing sector for the first time since May 2017 (Caixin Manufacturing PMI at 49.7 vs expected 50.1). Energy stocks abruptly reversed course after oil prices swung into positive territory. WTI crude increased 2.0% to $46.38/bbl after reports that Saudi Arabia decreased its crude exports in December by roughly 500,000 barrels per day.
  • In early Thursday, Apple (AAPL) warned investors to expect lower sales from the holiday quarter due primarily to “lower than anticipated” iPhone sales in China amid an ongoing trade war with the U.S., as well as other factors like the company offering cheaper iPhone battery replacements. Apple now expects revenue for the three months ending in December to be about $84 billion, down from an earlier estimated range of between $89 billion and $93 billion. In his letter to investors, Cook touted continued traction in Apple’s “non-iPhone businesses,” including wearable devices and supplementary services, like iCloud, Apple Pay and the App Store. But he admitted that the downward revision of its sales forecast is “disappointing.” Apple fell -7.48% in after hours trading.
BLOCKCHAIN & CRYPTOCURRENCY NEWS 

Customs authorities in Saudi Arabia have concluded a pilot scheme linking its cross-border trade platform FASAH with IBM and Maersk’s TradeLens blockchain platform. TradeLens is intended to be a basis for digital supply chains and launched with almost 100 entities willing to take part in the pilot. For Saudi Arabia, the move forms part of authorities’ desire to expand the country’s economy via the Vision 2030 initiative. According to Saudi Customs governor Ahmed Alhakbani, the recent pilot to link FASAH to the TradeLens platform clearly illustrates that they are on the right track. In line with its neighbor, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Riyadh has stepped up activities aimed at integrating blockchain technology at state level in recent months.

Top Cryptos See Modest Gains After Short Wavering

The top 20 coins are seeing moderate gains over the 24-hour period. Bitcoin has scaled back above $3,800 after falling below the mark earlier. Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3.1 percent and is trading at $3,863.18. On its weekly chart, the major cryptocurrency is still down by over five percent, and is lower than the Dec. 29 high of $3,961. Ripple (XRP), is up over three percent on the day and is currency trading at $0.362, down from a weekly high of $0.390 on Dec. 26. Ethereum and XRP have market capitalizations of $14.7 billion and $14.79 billion, respectively and Ethereum is up nearly six percent on the day and is trading at $141. Some altcoins that are seeing gains are Bitcoin SV and Monero (XMR), which are up 7.74 percent and 5.47 percent over the 24-hour period. Total crypto market capitalization is currently $129.8 billion, down slightly from its weekly high of $134.3 billion.

Japan: E-commerce Giant DMM Shutters Crypto Mining Business Due to Declining Profitability

Japanese e-commerce conglomerate DMM.com Ltd. will shut down its crypto mining business, citing deteriorating profitability as the main cause. The decision was reportedly taken in September 2018, and initial steps to dismantle mining operations — including selling the company’s mining hardware — will extend over the first half of 2019. DMM.com, which has over 27 million clients for its e-commerce business, first announced its entry into the crypto mining business in September 2017, with a focus on mining major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Litecoin (LTC). DMM is also reconsidering its launch of a crypto trading app dubbed “Cointap,” which had been slated for release on Dec. 25 2018. The company reportedly considers that both the bearish crypto market and the high-profile hack of Japanese crypto exchange Coincheck in January 2018 have made attracting new traders to the sector more difficult. There has been no indication that DMM will cease to operate its regulated cryptocurrency exchange. Also, Japanese internet giant GMO Internet Group has recently announced it will no longer develop, manufacture and sell Bitcoin miners, after reporting high losses in Q4 2018.

2 min Market Summary: 2 Jan 2019

NOTABLE MOVES 

As of Wed, Jan 02, 08:00 Singapore Time zone UTC+8

USDJPY, +0.09%, $109.68
EURUSD, -0.07%, $1.1461
GBPUSD, -0.05%, $1.2752
USDCAD, -0.11%, $1.3623
AUDUSD, -0.06%, $0.7048
NZDUSD, -0.09%, $0.6713

S&P500, +0.85%, 2,506.85 (31st Dec Close)
Nasdaq, +0.77%, 6,635.28 (31st Dec Close)
Nikkei Futures, +0.32%, 19,885.0

MARKET WRAP 

  • Thin trading conditions for most of 31st Dec 2018 contributed to another volatile session on Monday, though all 11 S&P 500 sectors did finish in the green. The health care (+1.4%) and consumer discretionary (+1.1%) sectors remained constant leaders, while the real estate (unch) and utilities (+0.2%) sectors underperformed. Stocks jumped out to a gain of 1.0%, helped by another hopeful trade tweet from Trump, but the early advance provided another excuse to sell into strength. The benchmark index would slip into negative territory (-0.1%) at around 11:30 a.m. ET. The S&P 500 quickly recovered and traded in positive territory for the rest of the day, but not with the same confidence that contributed to its strong start. Buying conviction was reserved with no news catalysts or economic data to sway investors, until a last minute swarm of buyers pushed the indices to near session highs.
  • U.S. Treasuries ended the abbreviated bond market session with gains across the curve, despite the positive disposition in the stock market. The 2-yr yield decreased two basis points to 2.50%, and the 10-yr yield decreased five basis points to 2.69%, reaching its lowest level since February.
BLOCKCHAIN & CRYPTOCURRENCY NEWS 

The Iranian government has taken further steps against Telegram’s cryptocurrency development, the Tehran Times reports Dec. 31. Secretary of the Criminal Content Definition Task Force Javad Javidnia has declared that any cooperation with the encrypted messaging app to launch its Gram token will be considered an act against national security and a disruption to the national economy. Iran first banned the app in April when supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said that government agencies would no longer use the app. The country’s judiciary subsequently forbade its use altogether. In December 2017, Iran temporarily blocked Telegram and photo-sharing app Instagram in order to “maintain peace” amid widespread protests. Prior to the ban, Iranian officials criticized the app, stating that its initial coin offering (ICO) was potentially “undermining the national currency of Iran.” The go-to messaging app of the crypto industry was also banned in Russia due to concerns over its ICO, with the possibility of a “completely uncontrolled financial system” reportedly leading to the block.

India: Media Reports Central Bank Has Postponed ‘Crypto-Rupee’ Plans

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is pausing its plans to release a digital currency, Indian business news outlet the Hindu Business Line reported on Jan. 1. India’s central bank had originally announced its intentions to consider a central bank digital currency (CBDC) in April of this year, at the time noting the establishment of an interdepartmental group to look into potential advantages and feasibility. In August, RBI confirmed the creation of the group, specifying that it was researching a CBDC that would be backed the rupee for reasons including the cost of printing paper and the rising popularity of using digital tokens. Now, amid confusion over the group’s exact findings, which remain a mystery, Delhi has apparently had a change of heart.

Senator and Crypto Critic Elizabeth Warren Enters 2020 US Presidential Race

United States Senator and cryptocurrency critic Elizabeth Warren has announced her bid for President in 2020, the New York Times reported on Dec. 31. Following her announcement, Sen. Warren made plans to visit the state of Iowa, which hosts the first presidential caucuses in the country in February 2020. Warren is the senior U.S. senator from Massachusetts and has held office in the Senate since 2013. The senator is known for her criticism of cryptocurrencies, having repeatedly expressed concerns that cryptocurrency consumers could be hurt by scam initial coin offerings (ICOs) while also stating that crypto is “easy to steal.”